4
Jedelweis D'urfist
7yo Gelding · 0-0
Argentan · Prix General Du Pommeau - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#15
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼2
Strength10%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 7
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Angers | G Gelormini | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Pornichet | Mme E Sourice | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Enghien | Mme E Sourice | 7 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Chateaubriant | Cedric Terry | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Chateaubriant | Mme E Sourice | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-13 | Nantes | Cedric Terry | 4 | 5th | 1st | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 160% of fieldRange 7-16 · tight 60/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength24%
Delivery trend -1.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 16th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08/2025 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 16/12/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 14/01/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 54% | +0.01 |
| 13/02/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 73% | +0.05 |
| 22/04/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 07/06/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 09/07/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 69% | +0.09 |
| 30/07/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 69% | +0.09 |
| 09/09/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 41% | +0.41 |