6

Jess Hoguiniere
7yo Mare · 0-0
Argentan · Prix General Du Pommeau - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#5
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼7
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 7
Class gap: +7.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-15 | Cordemais | C Baty | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Cordemais | Th Rebuffe | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-04 | Chatelaillon | Guillaume Martin | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-04-16 | Pontchateau | A Collette | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2024-10-13 | Graignes | F Lecanu | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2023-07-07 | Pornichet | E Raffin | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1680% of fieldRange 1-14 · tight 37/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength80%
Delivery trend +11.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10/2024 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 69% | +0.11 |
| 16/04/2025 | 9th | 7/1 | 63% | 43% | -0.20 |
| 04/08/2025 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 08/03/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 15/04/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 80% | +0.14 |