6
Haugain
9yo Gelding · 9-2
Argentan · Prix Sancho Panca - Monte · 1m 6f 64y
#13
Rank
Odds
60/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength6%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 6.6)
Highest class: 7
Recent avg: C7.0
Today: 6
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Argentan | C Marolleau | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-19 | Laval | C Marolleau | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Pornichet | C Marolleau | 7 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-10 | Vichy | C Marolleau | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-31 | Reims | T Cook | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Pontchateau | C Marolleau | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1719% of fieldRange 2-17 · tight 31/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength49%
Delivery trend +2.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 17.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 92% | +0.55 |
| 06/08/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 62% | +0.35 |
| 28/08/2025 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 20/09/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 80% | +0.64 |
| 03/11/2025 | 12th | 12/1 | 37% | 15% | -0.21 |
| 12/04/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 77% | +0.30 |
| 31/05/2026 | 3rd | 66/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 16/07/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 19/08/2026 | 14th | 80/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |