10
Helia Dairpet
9yo Mare · 8-13
Argentan · Prix Sancho Panca - Monte · 1m 6f 64y
#3
Rank
Odds
45/1
Win Prob
15%
Place Prob
20%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | Pornichet | Mlle L Planchenault | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-07-06 | Laval | Mlle L Planchenault | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-06-01 | Chartres | Mlle L Planchenault | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-05-13 | Cholet | Mlle L Planchenault | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-04-24 | Reims | M Durville | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-03-26 | Caen | A Angot | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1744% of fieldRange 7-17 · tight 58/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength19%
Delivery trend -3.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07/2023 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 15/02/2025 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 22/02/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 26/03/2025 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 24/04/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 13/05/2025 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 01/06/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 06/07/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 63% | -0.16 |
| 02/07/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |