16
Horizon D'amaro
9yo Gelding · 8-13
Argentan · Prix Sancho Panca - Monte · 1m 6f 64y
#14
Rank
Odds
60/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength10%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 | Strasbourg | P Ollitrault | 4 | 13th | 11th | +2 |
| 2026-10-10 | Reims | J B Lelievre | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-09-07 | Craon | L Jublot | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Argentan | P Ollitrault | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Saint-Malo | A Andre | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Enghien | H Baumer | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 1713% of fieldRange 6-14 · tight 66/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength45%
Delivery trend +0.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 15th of 17.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 13/06/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 30/06/2026 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 02/08/2026 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 25% | +0.20 |
| 11/08/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 16/08/2026 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 07/09/2026 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 10/10/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 23/10/2026 | 13th | 66/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |