Iago De Senoville
8yo Gelding · 8-13
Argentan · Prix Sancho Panca - Monte · 1m 6f 64y
#15
Rank
Odds
35/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 6.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Chartres | A Andre | 5 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-09-25 | Nantes | A Andre | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-09-20 | Cholet | J Lebouteiller | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-09-07 | Craon | Guillaume Martin | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Pornichet | G Lenain | 5 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-04-27 | Cholet | Guillaume Martin | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 17th of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/02/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 73% | +0.47 |
| 27/02/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 27% | +0.11 |
| 28/03/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 27/04/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 79% | +0.21 |
| 16/07/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |
| 07/09/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 63% | +0.47 |
| 20/09/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 25/09/2026 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 53% | +0.11 |
| 15/10/2026 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |