15
Icare D'acadie
8yo Gelding · 9-2
Argentan · Prix Sancho Panca - Monte · 1m 6f 64y
#10
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | Cabourg | G Delacour | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-03-16 | Caen | G Delacour | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-01-21 | Mauquenchy | G Delacour | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-12-29 | Vincennes | P A Delacour | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-22 | Cabourg | M Taillebosq | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-11-27 | Mauquenchy | T Goussin | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1725% of fieldRange 7-14 · tight 69/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength39%
Delivery trend +2.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 17. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/12/2024 | 11th | 18/1 | 5% | 23% | +0.18 |
| 03/02/2025 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 08/06/2025 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 18% | -0.08 |
| 16/07/2025 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 10/11/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 27/11/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 21/01/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 16/03/2026 | 13th | 50/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 24/10/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 54% | +0.28 |