12
Jacadi D'argilin
7yo Gelding · 9-4
Argentan · Prix Sancho Panca - Monte · 1m 6f 64y
#6
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength31%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Caen | R Lamy | 4 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-09-16 | Cabourg | F Durville | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-19 | Caen | B Rochard | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-05 | Caen | A Collette | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-02 | Graignes | G Monthule | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-12-22 | Cabourg | F Poisson | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1750% of fieldRange 4-16 · tight 49/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength42%
Delivery trend -0.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 17.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/03/2025 | 15th | 50/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 07/09/2025 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 73% | +0.68 |
| 08/12/2025 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 22/12/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 69% | +0.53 |
| 02/02/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 05/03/2026 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 19/03/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 90% | +0.11 |
| 16/09/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |
| 10/10/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |