11
James Madrik
7yo Gelding · 9-2
Argentan · Prix Sancho Panca - Monte · 1m 6f 64y
#8
Rank
Odds
35/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-26 | Le Croise-Laroche | J Vanmeerbeck | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-10-20 | Vincennes | J Y Ricart | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-09-26 | Enghien | Francois Lecathelinais | 5 | +1 | ||
| 2026-09-07 | Craon | G Bardou Menard | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-02 | Lisieux | M Mottier | 6 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-01 | Vichy | B Chauve-laffay | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1763% of fieldRange 4-14 · tight 58/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength49%
Delivery trend +2.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 17. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/11/2025 | 13th | 22/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 05/12/2025 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 22/12/2025 | 12th | 66/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 05/02/2026 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 17/02/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 02/03/2026 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 01/04/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 27/04/2026 | 15th | 40/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 20/10/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |