5
Jolicoeur D'athos
7yo Gelding · 8-11
Argentan · Prix Sancho Panca - Monte · 1m 6f 64y
#12
Rank
Odds
13/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 7
Recent avg: C7.0
Today: 6
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Vichy | Mme O Corbin | 7 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-06-03 | Les Sables | J Y Ricart | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-05-13 | Cholet | Mlle A Barthelemy | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-02-05 | Laval | Mme L Lucas-fouche | ? | 0 | ||
| 2024-12-22 | Pontchateau | Aurelien Desmarres | ? | 0 | ||
| 2024-12-16 | Le Mans | Mlle A Barthelemy | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1769% of fieldRange 2-11 · tight 62/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength67%
Delivery trend +4.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 17. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/12/2023 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 30/12/2023 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 93% | +0.24 |
| 18/03/2024 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 10/05/2024 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 64% | -0.25 |
| 30/06/2024 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 30/09/2024 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 58% | +0.53 |
| 16/12/2024 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 03/06/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.11 |
| 12/09/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 44% | +0.29 |