2
Kansas Du Rib
6yo Gelding · 8-11
Argentan · Prix Sancho Panca - Monte · 1m 6f 64y
#1
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
20%
Place Prob
24%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength24%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Lisieux | N Perron | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | La Capelle | N Perron | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-30 | Caen | N Perron | 5 | +1 | ||
| 2026-03-25 | Caen | N Perron | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-01 | Vire | N Perron | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-12-05 | Saint Brieuc | J L Cl Dersoir | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1794% of fieldRange 3-13 · tight 57/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength58%
Delivery trend +12.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 17. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/12/2023 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 55% | -0.27 |
| 05/06/2025 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 15/10/2025 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 58% | -0.13 |
| 30/10/2025 | 7th | 3/1 | 84% | 54% | -0.30 |
| 05/12/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 01/03/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 76% | +0.61 |
| 17/08/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |