9
Kavale D'erquy
6yo Mare · 8-11
Argentan · Prix Sancho Panca - Monte · 1m 6f 64y
#7
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼6
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +6.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | Chartres | F A Wartel | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-09-01 | Vire | F A Wartel | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-05 | Les Sables | F A Wartel | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-05-07 | Chartres | F A Wartel | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-04-28 | Cholet | A Wiels | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2024-10-05 | Laval | F A Wartel | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1788% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 76/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength96%
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 17.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/02/2024 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 31/03/2024 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 02/05/2024 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 12/07/2024 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 06/09/2024 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |
| 28/04/2025 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 07/05/2025 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 05/08/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 64% | -0.05 |
| 01/09/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |