Kercadia Barth
6yo Mare · 8-13
Argentan · Prix Sancho Panca - Monte · 1m 6f 64y
#16
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 6.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | Pornichet | T Ouvrie | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Pornichet | Mme E Sourice | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Lisieux | Mme L Thoraval | 4 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-01-14 | Cordemais | A Barrier | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-09-01 | Vire | T Ouvrie | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-07-12 | Les Sables | J Et Abrivard | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 16th of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09/2024 | 2nd | 80/1 | 0% | 94% | +0.94 |
| 12/05/2025 | 3rd | 50/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 16/06/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 12/07/2025 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 01/09/2025 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 14/01/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 33% | -0.32 |
| 26/03/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 08/07/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 73% | +0.68 |
| 30/07/2026 | 12th | 28/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |