1

Lascaux Du Noyer

5yo Gelding · 9-4

Argentan · Prix Custom - Monte · 1m 6f 64y

#15

Rank

Odds

60/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#15

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cabourg 17/12/2024 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 13217/12C?C0 @ Chateaubriant 03/02/2025 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 139C0 @ Caen 10/03/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 13910/03C?C0 @ Caen 20/03/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 139C0 @ Cabourg 29/07/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 13929/07C?C0 @ Vichy 10/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 141C0 @ Saint-Malo 11/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 13011/08C?C0 @ Graignes 12/10/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 12512/10C?projClass-projected finish: 13th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-12GraignesMlle L Herard?6th6th0
2026-08-11Saint-MaloMlle L Herard?8th8th0
2026-07-09Saint-MaloA Angot60
2026-05-10VichyMlle S Cortial?5th5th0
2025-08-15CabourgA Lamy?0
2025-07-29CabourgA Lamy?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/1220/0311/0812/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1514% of fieldRange 3-15 · tight 40/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength23%

Delivery trend -0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 15.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/12/20246th18/15%67%+0.61
03/02/20253rd16/116%83%+0.68
10/03/20253rd11/1094%75%-0.19
20/03/20256th17/255%38%-0.18
29/07/20257th9/276%33%-0.43
10/05/20265th33/10%33%+0.33
11/08/20268th66/10%36%+0.36
12/10/20266th20/10%64%+0.64