2
Lord De Jafa
5yo Gelding · 9-6
Argentan · Prix Custom - Monte · 1m 6f 64y
#14
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 7.7)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | Lisieux | A Marton-heliot | 6 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-15 | Vichy | E De Jesus | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-28 | Meslay Du Maine | J Deville | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Argentan | G Lessieu | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-18 | Vire | G Lessieu | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Laval | A Collette | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 157% of fieldRange 10-15 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength9%
Delivery trend -11.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/2025 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |
| 10/07/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 18/07/2025 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 02/10/2025 | 13th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 18/03/2026 | 11th | 125/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 28/05/2026 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |