3
Marius Du Clos
4yo Gelding · 9-13
Argentan · Prix Custom - Monte · 1m 6f 64y
#12
Rank
Odds
45/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength10%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 3 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 3
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | Cabourg | Mme T Mathias-maisonnette | 5 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-09-26 | Enghien | Mme T Mathias-maisonnette | 4 | +2 | ||
| 2026-08-31 | Vincennes | Mme T Mathias-maisonnette | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | La Capelle | Mme T Mathias-maisonnette | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Nancy | Mlle L Planchenault | 7 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-06-13 | Vichy | W Dersoir-habib | 5 | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 150% of fieldRange 11-15 · tight 77/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.3% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 15th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/05/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 70% | +0.12 |
| 22/07/2025 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 26/08/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 04/10/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 26/06/2026 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 29% | -0.27 |
| 30/07/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 86% | +0.30 |
| 31/08/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 55% | +0.07 |
| 24/10/2026 | 10th | 11/1 | 42% | 40% | -0.02 |