13

Maya Gerbehaye

4yo Filly · 9-8

Argentan · Prix Custom - Monte · 1m 6f 64y

#7

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼4
Strength76%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 6
Class gap: +3.5
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 25/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 12825/12C?C0 @ Vincennes 11/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 1342 @ Vincennes 24/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 134 · HIGHER CLASS24/012C0 @ Vincennes 10/02/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 22/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 022/02C?3 @ Vincennes 20/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ Vincennes 14/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 13414/04C?2 @ Chartres 11/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASS3 @ Vincennes 02/10/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASS2/103projClass-projected finish: 6th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-16VincennesJulien Raffestin?0
2026-10-02VincennesJulien Raffestin310th6th+3
2026-09-11ChartresJulien Raffestin28th3rd+4
2026-04-14VincennesA Collette?3rd3rd0
2026-04-04VincennesA Collette2+4
2026-03-20VincennesJulien Raffestin37th3rd+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/1210/0214/042/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1579% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 84/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +2.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/12/20251st15/261%100%+0.39
11/01/20263rd17/255%67%+0.11
24/01/20264th11/142%75%+0.33
10/02/20269th40/10%43%+0.43
22/02/20264th80/10%77%+0.77
20/03/20267th20/10%54%+0.54
14/04/20263rd18/15%85%+0.79
11/09/20268th50/10%36%+0.36
02/10/202610th66/10%25%+0.25