12
Meandre De Vandel
4yo Gelding · 9-13
Argentan · Prix Custom - Monte · 1m 6f 64y
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
74%
Place Prob
56%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼2
Strength57%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Vincennes | A Abrivard | 3 | +3 | ||
| 2026-07-02 | Lisieux | A Abrivard | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Vincennes | A Abrivard | 4 | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-05-21 | Le Mans | A Abrivard | 5 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-11-27 | Vincennes | A Abrivard | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-04 | Vincennes | A Abrivard | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 15100% of fieldRange 1-11 · tight 52/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength61%
Delivery trend -9.4% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06/2025 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 17/09/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 04/10/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 92% | +0.04 |
| 04/11/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 92% | +0.31 |
| 27/11/2025 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 60% | -0.24 |
| 21/05/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 19/06/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 02/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/5 | 96% | 91% | -0.05 |