6

Mille Sous Geka
4yo Gelding · 9-8
Argentan · Prix Custom - Monte · 1m 6f 64y
#6
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength5%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Cabourg | F Lagadeuc | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Cabourg | F Lagadeuc | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Le Mont-Saint-Michel | Q Michel | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Argentan | Q Michel | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Caen | F Lagadeuc | 5 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-04-13 | Argentan | F Lagadeuc | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1571% of fieldRange 1-13 · tight 40/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength60%
Delivery trend +2.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/03/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 10/11/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 89% | +0.20 |
| 16/03/2026 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 13/04/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 25/04/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 11/05/2026 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 40% | -0.18 |
| 30/06/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 14/07/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 31/07/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 73% | +0.46 |