3
Nacoma Run
3yo Filly · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Remi Serais Immobilier - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#1
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
84%
Place Prob
55%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -3.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | Reims | L J Legros | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-09-23 | Argentan | L J Legros | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Cabourg | L J Legros | 4 | 5th | 9th | −3 |
| 2026-08-05 | Saint-Malo | L J Legros | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Cabourg | L J Legros | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Caen | L J Legros | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1550% of fieldRange 13-15 · tight 79/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -26.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 05/08/2026 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 28/08/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 60% | +0.18 |
| 23/09/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 14/10/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 73% | -0.14 |