5
Native De Play
3yo Filly · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Remi Serais Immobilier - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#10
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.6
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Vincennes | F Blandin | 2 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-08-28 | Cabourg | F Blandin | 4 | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-07-28 | Cabourg | Adrien Blandin | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Cabourg | Adrien Blandin | 3 | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-05-30 | Caen | Adrien Blandin | 4 | 2nd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-05-16 | Caen | F Blandin | 5 | 3rd | 8th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1536% of fieldRange 2-10 · tight 62/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength63%
Delivery trend +1.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 30/03/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 11/05/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 16/05/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 30/05/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 93% | +0.88 |
| 10/07/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 28/07/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |
| 28/08/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 25/09/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |