15

Nebraska De Ginier
3yo Gelding · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Remi Serais Immobilier - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#2
Rank
Odds
6/4
Win Prob
8%
Place Prob
16%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 1.4 /10 (raw 1.1)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.3
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Chartres | A Barrier | 2 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-08-01 | Enghien | A Barrier | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Enghien | A Barrier | 1 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Enghien | A Barrier | 1 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Vincennes | A Barrier | 1 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Vincennes | A Barrier | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 15100% of fieldRange 3-3 · tight 89/100
▲ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength86%
Delivery trend -3.8% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 05/05/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 19/05/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 05/06/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 04/07/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 18/07/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 01/08/2026 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 15/10/2026 | 2nd | 4/5 | 96% | 92% | -0.04 |