9
Nelson Thoris
3yo Gelding · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Remi Serais Immobilier - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#9
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | Reims | Y Lebourgeois | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-09-23 | Argentan | A Barrier | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-24 | Vincennes | A Barrier | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Pornichet | A Barrier | 2 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-09 | Vincennes | A Barrier | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-26 | Vincennes | A Barrier | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1529% of fieldRange 2-15 · tight 32/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength2%
Delivery trend -5.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 31/03/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 26/05/2026 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 20% | -0.69 |
| 13/08/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 89% | +0.84 |
| 24/08/2026 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 36% | -0.27 |
| 14/10/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |