11
Neuilly De Play
3yo Filly · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Remi Serais Immobilier - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#13
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Vincennes | A Rebeche | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-09-23 | Argentan | F Blandin | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-10 | Enghien | F Blandin | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Enghien | M Lelievre | 3 | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-07-10 | Cabourg | F Blandin | 3 | 11th | 13th | −2 |
| 2026-06-16 | Vincennes | N Perron | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1514% of fieldRange 3-12 · tight 57/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength53%
Delivery trend +1.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 11/05/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 16/05/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 91% | +0.33 |
| 05/06/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 16/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |
| 10/07/2026 | 11th | 80/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 16/07/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |
| 10/08/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 16/10/2026 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |