8
Nirvago De La Cour
3yo Gelding · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Remi Serais Immobilier - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#5
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | Reims | R Lamy | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Vincennes | R Lamy | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Cabourg | R Lamy | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Cabourg | R Lamy | 3 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-06-22 | Caen | R Lamy | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Vincennes | R Lamy | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1593% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 77/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +7.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 63% | -0.11 |
| 16/09/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 82% | +0.56 |
| 09/06/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 22/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 82% | +0.34 |
| 10/07/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 11/08/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 31/08/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 14/10/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |