12

Nord Americaine
3yo Filly · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Remi Serais Immobilier - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#15
Rank
Odds
45/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.0
Today: 1
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Graignes | P Pacaud | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-26 | Vincennes | M Mottier | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Vincennes | M Mottier | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-17 | Vincennes | M Mottier | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-15 | Vincennes | A Abrivard | 1 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-24 | Vincennes | M Mottier | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 150% of fieldRange 6-15 · tight 53/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -21.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 15th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/12/2025 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 24/01/2026 | 2nd | 50/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 15/02/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 17/04/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 26/05/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |