2

Magie De Chahains
4yo Filly · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Fiteco - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#10
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Vincennes | F Lagadeuc | 3 | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2026-08-17 | Lisieux | A Rebeche | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Cabourg | F Lagadeuc | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Enghien | F Lagadeuc | 4 | 2nd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-06-16 | Vincennes | P ph Ploquin | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Le Croise-Laroche | A Collette | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 3-11 · tight 47/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength34%
Delivery trend -1.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 05/01/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 22/04/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 20/05/2026 | 10th | 11/1 | 42% | 36% | -0.06 |
| 16/06/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 11/07/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 07/08/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 75% | +0.07 |
| 17/08/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 70% | +0.54 |
| 18/09/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |