9
Marie Oh Fredlau
4yo Filly · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Fiteco - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#4
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.3
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Vincennes | A Favris | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-09-23 | Argentan | A Favris | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Enghien | D Thomain | 1 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Enghien | A Favris | 2 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-06-30 | Vichy | A Favris | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Vincennes | D Thomain | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 4-10 · tight 61/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength39%
Delivery trend -1.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/11/2025 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 21/12/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 07/03/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 92% | +0.29 |
| 21/03/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 92% | +0.55 |
| 30/06/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 56% | +0.03 |
| 25/07/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 14/08/2026 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 23/09/2026 | 3rd | 100/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 16/10/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |