8
Mazel Tov Dairpet
4yo Gelding · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Fiteco - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
95%
Place Prob
73%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 1.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 1
Class gap: -3.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Feurs | B Rochard | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | P ph Ploquin | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | La Capelle | B Rochard | 4 | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-06-09 | Cholet | B Rochard | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-11 | Lyon La Soie | D Bekaert | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-29 | Lyon La Soie | D Bekaert | 5 | 1st | 6th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 3-4 · tight 84/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength74%
Delivery trend -2.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 89% | +0.15 |
| 29/01/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 11/02/2026 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 09/06/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 19/06/2026 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 13/07/2026 | 1st | 4/9 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 07/09/2026 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |