10

Memphis De Brasse
4yo Colt · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Fiteco - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#11
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.0
Today: 1
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Reims | F Lagadeuc | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Vincennes | F Lagadeuc | 1 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Lisieux | S Rousselle | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Meslay Du Maine | S Rousselle | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-15 | Vincennes | F Lagadeuc | 1 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-02-07 | Vincennes | Th Briand | 1 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 61/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength67%
Delivery trend -4.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10/2025 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 14/12/2025 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 25/12/2025 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 07/02/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 15/02/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 28/07/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 17/08/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 29/08/2026 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 13/09/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 88% | +0.03 |