4
Minerve De Vandel
4yo Filly · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Fiteco - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#3
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength11%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | Caen | G Gelormini | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-10-02 | Vincennes | G Gelormini | 3 | −2 | ||
| 2026-08-19 | Laval | E Raffin | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Enghien | E Raffin | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Agen | C Megissier | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Meslay Du Maine | E Raffin | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 5-9 · tight 72/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength42%
Delivery trend -3.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06/2025 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 15/07/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 75% | +0.14 |
| 28/03/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 29/04/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 92% | +0.01 |
| 28/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 91% | +0.49 |
| 17/06/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 22/07/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 19/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 93% | +0.12 |
| 18/10/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 62% | -0.02 |