6
Mister Charm
4yo Colt · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Fiteco - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#2
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
15%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲3
Strength4%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -3.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Vincennes | E Raffin | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Cabourg | J PH Dubois | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Cabourg | J PH Dubois | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-12 | Vincennes | E Raffin | 4 | 3rd | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-05-05 | Vincennes | E Raffin | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Vincennes | E Raffin | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 9-11 · tight 82/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength11%
Delivery trend +0.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08/2025 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 24/09/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 59% | +0.22 |
| 11/10/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 16/03/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 69% | +0.06 |
| 17/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |
| 05/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 90% | +0.03 |
| 12/06/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 25/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 91% | +0.20 |
| 08/09/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |