13
Laurelina
5yo Filly · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Xavier Cavey - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#17
Rank
Odds
35/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#17
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 | Vincennes | A Rebeche | 3 | 13th | 15th | −2 |
| 2026-09-23 | Argentan | P Devesly | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-22 | Le Croise-Laroche | F Ouvrie | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Vincennes | Y Lebourgeois | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-07 | Cavaillon | D Bekaert | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Marseille-borely | D Bekaert | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish17th of 170% of fieldRange 10-17 · tight 69/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 17th of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07/2025 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 67% | +0.25 |
| 15/08/2025 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 30/08/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 71% | +0.45 |
| 20/02/2026 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 25/03/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 07/04/2026 | 3rd | 10/11 | 95% | 67% | -0.29 |
| 29/05/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 22/06/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 60% | -0.27 |
| 23/10/2026 | 13th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |