4
Leviosa
5yo Filly · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Xavier Cavey - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#5
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲5
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 2.9)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 1
Class gap: -4.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | Cabourg | Adrien Blandin | 5 | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-09-10 | Mauquenchy | Adrien Blandin | 5 | −4 | ||
| 2026-08-11 | Cabourg | Adrien Blandin | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-24 | Cabourg | Adrien Blandin | 6 | 5th | 11th | −5 |
| 2026-07-02 | Lisieux | Adrien Blandin | 6 | 4th | 10th | −5 |
| 2026-06-07 | Lisieux | Adrien Blandin | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1788% of fieldRange 1-11 · tight 57/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength78%
Delivery trend +11.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 17. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 16/03/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 11/05/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 82% | +0.03 |
| 07/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 78% | +0.04 |
| 02/07/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 82% | +0.67 |
| 24/07/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 73% | +0.21 |
| 03/10/2026 | 1st | 28/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |