11
Litchi Du Biset
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Xavier Cavey - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#2
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
10%
Place Prob
20%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 1
Class gap: -3.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Vincennes | B Rochard | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Laval | Mlle E Bouclet | 6 | 6th | 12th | −5 |
| 2026-08-08 | Enghien | M Mottier | 4 | 5th | 9th | −3 |
| 2026-07-24 | Cabourg | D Armellini | 4 | −3 | ||
| 2026-06-30 | Le Mont-Saint-Michel | D Thomain | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Enghien | D Armellini | 4 | 6th | 10th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1756% of fieldRange 8-17 · tight 62/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength19%
Delivery trend -2.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/02/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 35% | +0.35 |
| 02/03/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 79% | +0.02 |
| 12/03/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 80% | +0.19 |
| 11/05/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 23/05/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 30/06/2026 | 4th | 6/5 | 94% | 79% | -0.15 |
| 08/08/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 56% | +0.50 |
| 28/08/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 15/09/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |