12
Louis Quatorze
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Xavier Cavey - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#10
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲7
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 9.7 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C7.5
Today: 1
Class gap: -6.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Toulouse | Th Ducos | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-26 | Enghien | S Baude | 18 | 1st | 21th | −17 |
| 2026-09-19 | Pornichet | T Ouvrie | 4 | 8th | 12th | −3 |
| 2026-09-04 | Vincennes | F Nivard | 4 | 7th | 11th | −3 |
| 2026-08-17 | Lisieux | S Baude | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Enghien | F Nivard | 4 | 4th | 8th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1744% of fieldRange 4-14 · tight 58/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength49%
Delivery trend +3.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 17. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/02/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 93% | +0.35 |
| 13/04/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 63% | -0.11 |
| 23/05/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 85% | +0.48 |
| 09/07/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 70% | +0.12 |
| 17/08/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |
| 04/09/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 57% | +0.31 |
| 19/09/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 46% | +0.30 |
| 26/09/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 11/10/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |