14
Love Glycines
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Xavier Cavey - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#14
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Argentan | F Nivard | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-01 | Enghien | F Nivard | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-13 | Enghien | F Nivard | 2 | −1 | ||
| 2026-05-11 | Vichy | F Nivard | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Chateaubriant | F Nivard | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Laval | F Nivard | 4 | 3rd | 7th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1719% of fieldRange 6-17 · tight 54/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength28%
Delivery trend -5.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/05/2025 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 16/06/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 26/07/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 85% | +0.37 |
| 23/08/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 16/10/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 93% | +0.20 |
| 12/03/2026 | 8th | 100/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 28/03/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 88% | +0.62 |
| 22/04/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 69% | +0.06 |
| 11/05/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |