2
Lovely Trip
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Xavier Cavey - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#9
Rank
Odds
70/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲5
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 1
Class gap: -4.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Vincennes | A Lamy | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Vincennes | S Dieudonne | 5 | 4th | 9th | −4 |
| 2026-08-13 | Pornichet | S Dieudonne | 6 | 4th | 10th | −5 |
| 2026-07-18 | Pornichet | S Dieudonne | 6 | 1st | 7th | −5 |
| 2026-06-24 | Cherbourg | S Dieudonne | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Les Sables | S Dieudonne | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1763% of fieldRange 2-13 · tight 54/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength59%
Delivery trend +2.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 17. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 38% | +0.33 |
| 11/04/2026 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 28/04/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 58% | +0.21 |
| 02/06/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 24/06/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 82% | +0.24 |
| 18/07/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 13/08/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 22/08/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 05/09/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 92% | +0.26 |