9
Lyra Poterie
5yo Filly · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Xavier Cavey - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#13
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲3
Strength2%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -3.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | Caen | P ph Ploquin | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-10-02 | Vincennes | P ph Ploquin | 4 | −3 | ||
| 2026-09-20 | Vincennes | Ch Cuiller | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Cabourg | F Lagadeuc | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Enghien | P ph Ploquin | 4 | 4th | 8th | −3 |
| 2026-05-26 | Vincennes | P ph Ploquin | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1738% of fieldRange 5-14 · tight 62/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength45%
Delivery trend -2.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/11/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 13/12/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 64% | +0.27 |
| 06/04/2026 | 7th | 100/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 21/04/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 26/05/2026 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 11/07/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 31/07/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 20/09/2026 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 18/10/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 81% | +0.39 |