12
Kalamity De Chenu
6yo Mare · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Eric The Eel - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#9
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 8.9 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | Laval | S Ernault | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-24 | Vincennes | G Gelormini | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Cabourg | Ch Dreux | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Pornichet | J Y Ricart | 6 | 9th | 11th | −2 |
| 2026-03-21 | Vincennes | G Gelormini | 5 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-03-02 | Le Croise-Laroche | Ch Dreux | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1529% of fieldRange 11-15 · tight 77/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength4%
Delivery trend -4.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/2025 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 10/12/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 03/01/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 15/01/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 85% | +0.37 |
| 08/02/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 21/03/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 47% | +0.41 |
| 23/07/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 07/08/2026 | 8th | 100/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 24/08/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |