9

Kalinka Du Breuil
6yo Mare · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Eric The Eel - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#11
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Enghien | R Hue | 6 | 8th | 10th | −2 |
| 2026-07-14 | Langon-Libourne | R Hue | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Saint-Malo | R Hue | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-17 | Meslay Du Maine | R Hue | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-02-18 | Laval | R Hue | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-01-26 | Mauquenchy | R Hue | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1521% of fieldRange 4-15 · tight 47/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength39%
Delivery trend +0.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09/2025 | 9th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 26/09/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 08/11/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 05/12/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 88% | +0.25 |
| 26/01/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 88% | +0.72 |
| 18/02/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 47% | +0.41 |
| 24/05/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 14/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 94% | +0.31 |
| 25/07/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |