13
Katinka Coton
6yo Mare · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Eric The Eel - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#7
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | Enghien | R Lamy | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-09-23 | Argentan | R Vilault | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-09-10 | Laval | A Andre | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-14 | Cabourg | G Lessieu | 5 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-08-04 | Cabourg | G Lessieu | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-02-18 | Laval | R Lamy | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1571% of fieldRange 2-10 · tight 62/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength65%
Delivery trend +3.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/12/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 08/01/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 26/01/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 94% | +0.57 |
| 08/02/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 73% | +0.47 |
| 18/02/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |
| 04/08/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 14/08/2026 | 9th | 125/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 10/09/2026 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 08/10/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 91% | +0.44 |