8

Kobra Jenilou
6yo Gelding · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Eric The Eel - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#1
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
97%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength5%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 2.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Argentan | Cl Cimarosti | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Cabourg | P Cimarosti | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-24 | Cabourg | P Cimarosti | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-19 | Argentan | P Cimarosti | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Caen | Cl Cimarosti | 6 | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-03-26 | Lisieux | P Cimarosti | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 15100% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 66/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength81%
Delivery trend +3.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/12/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 10/02/2026 | 13th | 7/1 | 63% | 14% | -0.49 |
| 01/03/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.12 |
| 26/03/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 25/04/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 87% | +0.50 |
| 19/05/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 24/07/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 87% | +0.08 |
| 14/08/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 23/09/2026 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |