11
Kristo Star
6yo Gelding · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Eric The Eel - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#15
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Vincennes | P ph Ploquin | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Reims | M Izzo | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Vincennes | P ph Ploquin | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Vincennes | M Izzo | 3 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2026-02-06 | Vincennes | A Collette | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-03 | Vincennes | A Abrivard | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 157% of fieldRange 2-15 · tight 33/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength41%
Delivery trend +0.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/2025 | 11th | 13/2 | 66% | 33% | -0.32 |
| 21/10/2025 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 21/11/2025 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 05/12/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 03/01/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 27/02/2026 | 12th | 100/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 20/03/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 55% | +0.49 |
| 15/04/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 30% | -0.07 |
| 06/05/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |