5
Dayak
7yo Horse · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Paul Buquet - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#9
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Vincennes | B Rochard | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-09-18 | Vincennes | B Rochard | 4 | 2nd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-08-21 | Cabourg | Y Lebourgeois | 4 | −3 | ||
| 2026-08-06 | Enghien | B Rochard | 2 | −1 | ||
| 2026-07-18 | Enghien | B Rochard | 4 | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-06-19 | Vincennes | P ph Ploquin | 5 | 1st | 6th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1888% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 83/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +1.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/12/2025 | 8th | 3/1 | 84% | 53% | -0.31 |
| 22/01/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 05/02/2026 | 12th | 20/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 20/05/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 06/06/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |
| 19/06/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 18/07/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 18/09/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 90% | +0.29 |
| 27/09/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |