15
Ialto D'hertals
8yo Gelding · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Paul Buquet - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#1
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
47%
Place Prob
34%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 1
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | Reims | F Nivard | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-23 | Argentan | Cl Duvaldestin | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Saint-Malo | M Mottier | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Le Croise-Laroche | Cl Duvaldestin | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Chateaubriant | Cl Duvaldestin | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Marseille-borely | Th Briand | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 18100% of fieldRange 1-10 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength97%
Delivery trend +0.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 93% | +0.77 |
| 27/02/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 93% | +0.11 |
| 03/03/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 92% | +0.11 |
| 25/03/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 93% | +0.30 |
| 22/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 93% | +0.08 |
| 20/05/2026 | 10th | 4/1 | 79% | 36% | -0.43 |
| 05/08/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 77% | +0.40 |
| 23/09/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 71% | +0.13 |
| 14/10/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |