14
Indigo De Fontaine
8yo Gelding · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Paul Buquet - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#4
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.0
Today: 1
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Vincennes | A Abrivard | 1 | 0 | ||
| 2026-09-20 | Vincennes | A Abrivard | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Vincennes | A Abrivard | 1 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Saint-Malo | Leo Abrivard | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Cabourg | A Lamy | 1 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Vichy | Leo Abrivard | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1853% of fieldRange 6-18 · tight 52/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength15%
Delivery trend -2.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/12/2025 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 93% | +0.51 |
| 12/02/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 85% | -0.02 |
| 02/05/2026 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 13/05/2026 | 1st | 22/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 06/06/2026 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 42% | -0.29 |
| 17/07/2026 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 05/08/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 22/08/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 20/09/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 73% | -0.06 |