2
Isis D'herfraie
8yo Mare · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Paul Buquet - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#15
Rank
Odds
100/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 8.8 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Vincennes | D Thomain | 3 | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-07-15 | Lisieux | F Lagadeuc | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Cherbourg | F Lagadeuc | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-29 | Vincennes | D Thomain | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Vincennes | D Thomain | 3 | 8th | 10th | −2 |
| 2026-04-17 | Vincennes | D Thomain | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1835% of fieldRange 3-14 · tight 56/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength55%
Delivery trend +3.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 56% | +0.08 |
| 02/12/2025 | 14th | 66/1 | 0% | 19% | +0.19 |
| 10/12/2025 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 01/01/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 17/04/2026 | 11th | 80/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 02/05/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 29/05/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 15/07/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 29/08/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |