4
Ixelle Bleue
8yo Mare · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Paul Buquet - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#10
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -3.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | Caen | Th Beauchene | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-10-07 | Enghien | Th Briand | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-09-18 | Toulouse | Th Beauchene | 4 | 9th | 13th | −3 |
| 2026-08-12 | Enghien | Th Beauchene | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Vichy | Th Briand | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Enghien | M Mottier | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1829% of fieldRange 6-18 · tight 52/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength7%
Delivery trend -6.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 87% | +0.34 |
| 24/10/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 71% | +0.45 |
| 10/11/2025 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 08/12/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 09/03/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 27/06/2026 | 1st | 22/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 01/08/2026 | 9th | 4/1 | 79% | 38% | -0.40 |
| 12/08/2026 | 4th | 66/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 18/09/2026 | 9th | 3/1 | 84% | 47% | -0.38 |