11
Kaptain Du Liamone
6yo Gelding · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Paul Buquet - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#8
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Caen | B Rochard | 3 | 9th | 11th | −2 |
| 2026-09-25 | Toulouse | F Prat | 3 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-09-16 | Feurs | F Prat | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-07 | Feurs | F Prat | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Enghien | B Rochard | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Agen | F Prat | 3 | 4th | 6th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1882% of fieldRange 1-14 · tight 48/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength62%
Delivery trend +0.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |
| 04/03/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 80% | +0.19 |
| 25/03/2026 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 30/05/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 63% | -0.27 |
| 04/07/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 91% | +0.36 |
| 07/09/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 16/09/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 25/09/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 10/10/2026 | 9th | 5/1 | 74% | 53% | -0.21 |